{"id":34,"date":"2013-07-17T21:51:00","date_gmt":"2013-07-17T21:51:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/?p=34"},"modified":"2013-07-17T21:51:00","modified_gmt":"2013-07-17T21:51:00","slug":"how-to-save-the-post-office-and-stick-it-to-the-man","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/?p=34","title":{"rendered":"How to save the post office (and stick it to the man)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a question for you. &nbsp;Why won&#8217;t UPS or FedEx come to your door every day, pick up any mail you might have, and deliver it to any other address in the country &#8211; hold on, I&#8217;m not done &#8211; for the price of 50 cents or so per item?<\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>The short answer is that it&#8217;s simply not cost effective, at least without a huge customer base and established infrastructure. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Even then, it&#8217;s still a challenge. &nbsp;The USPS knows that well.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>The USPS was founded on the principle that mail service is a right of everyone in the country, and that prices should never become burdensome as to exclude anyone from that process. &nbsp;Even if you live on top of a mountain, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/8301-3445_162-4764442\/special-delivery-mail-by-mule\/\">or in the Grand Canyon<\/a>, the USPS will still bring you mail for just the price of postage.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>The problem is that this system works best when it&#8217;s running near or at capacity. &nbsp;There&#8217;s a lot of infrastructure in place, and as we send less mail in aggregate the costs of running the system don&#8217;t really decrease proportionally. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>To pump money back in to the post office, then, all we need to do is send more mail.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Well, duh, you&#8217;re saying, but that costs money. &nbsp;And you have to sit down and write stuff. &nbsp;It&#8217;s soooo 20th century. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Sure, it is. &nbsp;While I&#8217;ll stand by the fact that people should write more letters, I&#8217;ll agree that this isn&#8217;t the solution. &nbsp;At least not the solution we&#8217;re looking for *waves hand*.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>You might not want to throw money at this, but there are plenty of those that do. &nbsp;In fact, there&#8217;s a good chance that they&#8217;ve mailed you some money today. &nbsp;What are you likely to do with it?<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Tear it up and throw it into the garbage. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>You see, I&#8217;m talking about business reply mail. &nbsp;Yep, this stuff:<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-yjeSCtGd7iw\/Uea9pR1Rj7I\/AAAAAAAADN8\/nREUe00yDmY\/s1600\/brm_pic.gif\" style=\"margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/-yjeSCtGd7iw\/Uea9pR1Rj7I\/AAAAAAAADN8\/nREUe00yDmY\/s1600\/brm_pic.gif\" height=\"406\" width=\"640\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>You see, companies pay to send you envelopes full of solicitation, including these business reply envelopes. &nbsp;The trick is that they pay in bulk (and get a discount), and also only pay for return postage (also discounted) when those envelopes are returned. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>It&#8217;s a pretty safe bet on the return mailers &#8211; they&#8217;re happy to pay for them because when they do come back they&#8217;re filled with what could basically be gold: filled out credit card applications, uh, other filled out credit card applications, uh, etc. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Some of you are a few steps ahead of me already, I can tell. &nbsp;What I&#8217;m about to suggest isn&#8217;t a new idea &#8211; I&#8217;m confident that a good chunk of the country has independently derived this on their own. &nbsp;It&#8217;s not tricky, and you can find plenty of people already suggesting it on the interwebs (which makes our eventual job easier). &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>By simply mailing these envelopes back &#8211; empty &#8211; you are in effect taking some amount of money from these corporations and&nbsp;surreptitiously donating it to the USPS. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Before you say &#8220;I already saw that a bunch of places&#8221;, let me again point out that a quick search reveals tons of people who have also come up with this idea to varying degrees. &nbsp;What I&#8217;m looking to figure out today is actually how much this donation to the USPS would actually be if we all started doing it. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>So, I&#8217;ve been counting my mail. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>It&#8217;s probably not shocking to anyone who a) is alive, b) lives in the US that I (we) get a lot of this type of mail. &nbsp;There are some days I don&#8217;t get any, and some days where I get a bunch. &nbsp;On average it seems to work out to about one business reply envelope a day (days that I get mail, so discounting Sunday). &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Let&#8217;s err a little lower to keep things nice and round, and say that I get 300 business reply envelopes a year. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>It&#8217;s kind of hard to figure out exactly how much it costs to cover the cost of a returned business reply mail envelope, as the USPS has some information here:&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usps.com\/business\/reply-mail.htm?\">https:\/\/www.usps.com\/business\/reply-mail.htm?<\/a><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>But seems to hold back on pricing information until you try to do it. &nbsp;I&#8217;ve had trouble finding anything else on their site about what sort of discount actually takes place, so lacking that information we can simply work on the known bounds. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>That is, we know the most and least that one of these business reply mail would cost to cover. &nbsp;The least is nothing, if the post office is simply in collusion with the companies and not really worried about losing money. &nbsp;That seems pretty unlikely. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>The most that they could charge is something less than the price of a stamp, or it wouldn&#8217;t be a discount. &nbsp;The current cost of a stamp is $0.46. &nbsp;That means that the upper bound of what I could be &#8216;donating&#8217; to the post office in a year is somewhere around $138. &nbsp;If companies are getting a 50% discount on mailings, we&#8217;re now talking $69. &nbsp;If they&#8217;re getting a 75% discount it&#8217;s only $34.50.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>$34.50 might not seem like much, and in the grand scheme of fixing the post office it&#8217;s really not. &nbsp;The way around this is the law of large numbers. &nbsp;You can still see from the same Google search I told you to do earlier that this is not a highly unique idea. &nbsp;This is a very easy idea to develop independently and simultaneously.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>In the latest US census, 76.5% of the 313,914,040 people in the country were over the age of 18. &nbsp;I know for a fact that you can get this type of mail well before you&#8217;re 18, but for simplicity&#8217;s sake lets just go with those who are right in the target market for this kind of mail.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>That leaves us 240,144,241 people who are likely to be receiving some number of business reply mail envelopes in the mail. &nbsp;But how many? &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Well, I don&#8217;t think the numbers that I&#8217;ve found for myself should be anything outlandish. &nbsp;I go to lengths to make sure that companies *don&#8217;t* have my address, so if anything I should be on the lower end of the scale. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>Let&#8217;s simply say, though, that I&#8217;m presumably somewhere around average (if you don&#8217;t believe me, start counting your mail). &nbsp;What would that mean?<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Well, it would mean that instead of me chipping in something like $34.50 a year, 240 million people could be. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>If you have a basic grasp on math you can see that we have a two digit number that&#8217;s going to be multiplied by a number that has run out of millions digits. &nbsp;That means we&#8217;re now talking billions. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>$8,284,976,314, to be exact. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Everyone online seems to have a different number for the USPS budget shortfall each year, but they mostly seem to fall between 5 and 11 billion, which means that 8 billions dollars could actually make a dent. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>That&#8217;s also operating on the presumption that these companies get discounts as high as 75% on business reply mail returns. &nbsp;It could be higher than this, I&#8217;ll admit, but it could also be lower. &nbsp;If they were only getting a 50% discount we&#8217;d be looking at $16,569,952,628. &nbsp;With no discounts whatsoever we&#8217;d be looking at a cool $33,139,905,256.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>It&#8217;s easy to read that and say, &#8216;yeah, but that&#8217;s if everyone does it, it doesn&#8217;t matter if I do&#8217;. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Well, it does, because you&#8217;re part of everyone. &nbsp;Honestly, make this a habit. &nbsp;Instead of just tearing up and throwing away your business reply mail return envelopes (you should be recycling them anyway, jerk!), make a pile of them and then recycle the rest of the paperwork. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Have fun with it, save them up and send them all out on the first of the month or something. &nbsp;Pick a day of the month when you pay your credit cards and take a bit more delight in the fact that you got something back out of it, too. &nbsp;Well, at least the post office would. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>Some people will tell you to get all spiteful about it, and mail other junk mail, or crackers, or ez-cheese, or bricks, or other things that are just not a great idea to be sending through the mail.&nbsp; Don&#8217;t make this about anger, make it about release.&nbsp; You&#8217;re getting rid of something you don&#8217;t want, and helping out an organization who needs it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Some other people will tell you to do this so that the credit card companies will stop sending you business reply mail envelopes. &nbsp;Sorry to burst your bubble, but they&#8217;re never going to stop. &nbsp;If every single person in the country was doing this every day they *might* start to notice. &nbsp;$8 billion spread across all the companies that send you this type of mail is still the equivalent of a mosquito feasting on the ankle of a giant. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>But seriously, this isn&#8217;t hard. &nbsp;Do it.&nbsp; <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a question for you. &nbsp;Why won&#8217;t UPS or FedEx come to your door every day, pick up any mail you might have, and deliver it to any other address in the country &#8211; hold on, I&#8217;m not done &#8211; for the price of 50 cents or so per item? The short answer is that &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/?p=34\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">How to save the post office (and stick it to the man)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=34"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=34"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=34"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulgcurran.com\/skepticalstats\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=34"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}